Nate Silver: Trump’s Chance of Victory is Only 19 Percent

We all know that if Donald Trump wins the White House, immigration enforcement will be very different and the chances for progressive immigration reform will be even worse.

From Politico:

Nate Silver [predicts that Hillary Clinton will will the presidential election. He] is giving Donald Trump a 19 percent chance of becoming president – and that makes him a little nervous, as well it should
. . .
The unusually large number of undecideds and third-party voters this year threatens to throw off his model, Silver allowed: “That’s a big thing that we’re looking at.”

But Silver’s confidence wasn’t much shaken by his big Trump miss [in the primaries] — if anything, it’s only reinforced his belief in the superiority of his math-driven methods over shoot-from-the-lip punditry. Read more….

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